The number of assisted reproductive technology (ART) cycles  conducted each year continues to climb. As the effectiveness of ART has greatly  improved over the last few decades, more high-quality embryos are being created  in each cycle, and a live birth is achievable with fewer embryos.
Patients must choose between discarding the embryos, donating  them to the embryology laboratory for teaching purposes, donating them to  another patient, or paying to store the embryos in perpetuity. Patients can  feel conflicted about this decision, so continue paying for storage of  cryopreserved embryos indefinitely.
Surplus cryopreserved embryos also pose a dilemma for ART  clinics. As the number of cryopreserved embryos increases, clinics are faced  with logistical and financial strains in having to indefinitely store embryos  while struggling to contact patients for their instruction on disposition.  Recently, the Ethics Committee of the American Society for Reproductive  Medicine updated its guidelines around unclaimed embryos, emphasizing the  financial and decision challenges that surplus embryos raise for patients and  ART programs.
One strategy to limit the number of surplus embryos is to  limit the number of embryos created in the first place. This can occur by  limiting the number of oocytes exposed to sperm and freezing or discarding the  unexposed oocytes. Despite the recognized growing problem of surplus embryos  and the option of oocyte vitrification, per current standards of care, clinics  expose all oocytes to sperm (either with conventional insemination or  intracytoplasmic sperm injection) in an ART cycle, because there currently is  no validated method by which a clinic can determine how many oocytes to attempt  to fertilize that will optimize patient outcomes. Of course, not all oocytes  exposed to sperm result in transferable embryos and not all embryo transfers  result in a live birth.
To answer the requests of patients and clinicians who seek  to limit the number of surplus embryos created, authors Katharine F. B. Correia  and team addressed the lack of evidence-based guidance in this area by  developing a prediction algorithm according to patient and ART cycle  characteristics. This prediction algorithm can aid clinicians in determining  the optimal number of oocytes to expose to sperm. Optimal number is defined as  enough oocytes exposed to sperm to preserve the chance of live birth while  minimizing the number of surplus embryos created. The hypothesis was that  authors could develop an algorithm that would provide a suitable estimate for  the optimal number of oocytes to be exposed to sperm. This knowledge at the  time of insemination would allow patients and clinicians to prioritize reducing  the number of surplus embryos when that is an element of their decision  process.
This diagnostic study used data from member clinics of the  Society for Assisted Reproductive Technology Clinical Outcomes Reporting System  between 2014 to 2019. A total of 410719 oocyte retrievals and 460577 embryo  transfer cycles from 311237 patients aged 18 to 45 years old who initiated  their first oocyte stimulation cycle between January 1, 2014, and December 31,  2019, were included. Data were analyzed from February to June 2022.
Female patient age, anti-mullerian hormone level, diminished  ovarian reserve diagnosis, number of oocytes retrieved, and the state where the  clinic is located were included in the final models. The algorithm was based on  3 models with outcomes: (1) day of transfer; (2) proportion of retrieved  oocytes that become usable blastocysts; and (3) number of blastocysts needed  for transfer for 1 live birth to occur.
The median (IQR) age at stimulation cycle start was 35  (29-32) years and the median (IQR) number of oocytes retrieved was 10 (6-17).  The likelihood of recommending that all oocytes be exposed to sperm increased  with age; less than 20.0% of retrievals among patients younger than 32 years  and more than 99.0% of retrievals among patients older than 42 years received  recommendations that all oocytes be exposed to sperm. Among cycles recommended  to expose fewer than all oocytes, the median (IQR) numbers recommended for 1  live birth were 7 oocytes (7-8) for patients aged less than 32 years, 8 (7-8)  for patients aged 32 to 34 years, and 9 (9-11) for patients aged 35 to 37  years.
In this diagnostic study, to support patients and clinicians  who wish to limit the creation of surplus embryos, authors developed an evidence-based  prediction tool to determine how many oocytes should be exposed to sperm to  optimize live birth rates but minimize the number of surplus embryos. The  results suggest that fewer oocytes than the number retrieved could be exposed  to sperm to get 1 live birth in more than half of ART stimulation cycles among  patients younger than 38 years old and in about 20.0% of stimulation cycles  among patients 38 to 40 years old. For nearly all patients older than 40 years,  all oocytes retrieved should be exposed to sperm.
Patients and ART clinics are caught in a tangled web of  quickly changing federal and state laws. It is unclear whether patient autonomy  for personal decisions regarding using, storing, and/or discarding embryos will  be possible. The current political environment may force transformation of ART  practices in which the number of embryos created must be minimized to avoid  discarding or abandoning embryos. Clinicians will have to consider the clinical  success, logistic, and financial practice of multiple rounds of egg thawing,  fertilization, and transfer against the legal implications and loss of personal  autonomy regarding surplus embryos. This diagnostic study allows patients and  clinicians a tool to minimize embryo creation if they deem it appropriate for  their practice setting and personal preference.
Source: Katharine  F. B. Correia; Stacey A. Missmer; Rachel Weinerman; JAMA Network Open.  2023;6(1):e2249395. 
doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.49395
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